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Supporters of Iran’s exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi rallied on the sidelines of a gathering of world leaders in Germany on Saturday, aiming to crank up international pressure on Tehran. According to Associated Press banging drums and chanting for regime change, the large and boisterous demonstration in Munich was part of what Pahlavi described as a “global day of action" to support Iranians in the wake of deadly nationwide protests. Pahlavi also called for rallies in Los Angeles and Toronto. “Change, change, regime change” chanted the crowd of many thousands of people, waving green-white-and-red flags with lion and sun emblems. Iran used that flag before its 1979 Islamic Revolution that toppled the Pahlavi dynasty. Some demonstrators sported “Make Iran Great Again" red caps, mimicking the MAGA caps worn by US President Donald Trump's supporters.
Many waved placards showing Pahlavi, some that called him a king.
The son of Iran’s deposed shah has been in exile for nearly 50 years but is trying to position himself as a player in Iran’s future. The crowd chanted “Pahlavi for Iran” and “democracy for Iran" as drums and cymbals sounded. Police said at least 15,000 people attended, German news agency dpa reported. Daniyal Mohtashamian said he traveled from Zurich, in Switzerland, to speak up for protesters inside Iran who faced repression. “There is an internet blackout and their voices are not going outside of Iran,” he said. Iranian leaders are already under intense pressure, facing renewed threats of US military action. Trump wants Iran to further scale back its nuclear program. He suggested on Friday that regime change in Iran “would be the best thing that could happen." Iran was also the focus of protests in Munich on Friday, the opening day of an annual security conference in the city gathering European leaders and global security figures. Supporters of the Iranian opposition group People’s Mujahedeen Organization of Iran, also known as the Mujahedeen-e-Khalq, demonstrated against Iran's deadly crackdown on protesters last month. The US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency says at least 7,005 people were killed in the protest, including 214 government forces. It has been accurate in counting deaths during previous rounds of unrest in Iran and relies on a network of activists in Iran to verify deaths. Iran’s government offered its only death toll on Jan. 21, saying 3,117 people were killed. Iran’s theocracy in the past has undercounted or not reported fatalities from past unrest. The Associated Press has been unable to independently assess the death toll, given authorities have disrupted internet access and international calls in Iran.
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Russia’s hybrid warfare against Europe may be entering a far more dangerous phase. In this conversation, Prof and Greg Terry examine sabotage, cyber operations, GPS interference, drones, suspected attacks beyond Ukraine, and the growing risk that Moscow could eventually miscalculate its way into a direct confrontation with NATO.
The discussion focuses on why Vladimir Putin may believe the West still lacks the willingness to respond decisively. Greg draws on more than three decades of experience working in Russia and the region to explain the Kremlin mindset, while the conversation turns to Germany, Poland, the Baltic states, Moldova, Transnistria, Odessa, and the possibility that Russia is deliberately testing the limits of NATO’s tolerance.
They also examine signs surrounding possible Russian mobilization, Moscow’s wartime economy, NATO air-defense shortages, Donald Tusk’s increasingly forceful posture toward Russia, and the danger that one hybrid operation causing significant European casualties could trigger political pressure for a much stronger response.
The central warning is simple: Russia may view Western restraint not as de-escalation, but as permission to keep pushing. Ukraine understands the Kremlin because it has been fighting this war for years. The question is whether Europe and the United States will recognize the danger before a calculated gamble becomes something no one can control.
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CHAPTERS
0:00 Why Hybrid Warfare May Be Europe’s Biggest Crisis
2:03 Why Putin Keeps Testing the West
6:09 Signs of Possible Russian Mobilization
6:21 Moldova, Transnistria and Putin’s Wider Ambitions
9:12 Does Moscow Believe Europe Will Respond?
9:50 Donald Tusk’s Warning and the Risk of Hot War
13:09 Could One Incident Trigger a NATO Crisis?
14:30 How the Kremlin Interprets Western Restraint
14:53 Russia Smells Weakness — And the Danger Grows
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Israel on Wednesday said it had struck around 300 defense systems and ballistic missiles during its strikes on Iran.
According to Associated Press israeli military spokesman Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin said forces hit a Revolutionary Guard complex in eastern Tehran and had also struck sites "within the Iranian nuclear infrastructure".
Defrin meanwhile, said two Israeli soldiers were injured as a result of fire from Hezbollah.
It comes as Israel's military ordered residents of dozens of border villages in southern Lebanon to evacuate “immediately” Wednesday as airstrikes on suburbs of Beirut intensified and Hezbollah claimed more attacks.
Lebanon was dragged into the broader war in the Middle East early Monday when Hezbollah fired rockets and drones into northern Israel, triggering Israeli retaliatory airstrikes that killed more than 70 people, wounded more than 400 and displaced tens of thousands of people from southern Lebanon, the eastern Bekaa Valley and Beirut’s southern suburbs.
The ongoing conflict is not the first between Hezbollah and Israel.
Hezbollah began firing into Israel a day after the October 7, 2023, Hamas-led attack on southern Israel triggered the war in Gaza.
After months of low-level fighting, a full-scale war erupted in September 2024 and Israel later launched a ground invasion of Lebanon.
Israeli forces withdrew from most of southern Lebanon after a U.S.-brokered ceasefire halted the fighting in late 2024, but continued to occupy five points on the Lebanese side of the border.
The war has killed more than 1,000 people in Iran, more than 70 in Lebanon and around a dozen in Israel, according to officials in those countries.
It has disrupted the supply of the world’s oil and gas, snarled international shipping, and stranded hundreds of thousands of travelers in the Middle East.
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The Kremlin has now publicly responded after the CIA director’s trip to Moscow—and Dmitry Peskov’s message was unmistakable: Russia says its offensive continues, negotiations over Ukraine are “deeply on pause,” and Moscow claims the battlefield remains in its favor.
We examine Peskov’s statements, Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski’s warning that NATO should accelerate its defense preparations, and Alexander Lukashenko’s striking comments about a “common problem” in southern Belarus and southwestern Russia ahead of his meeting with Vladimir Putin.
Ukraine is also continuing its long-range campaign against Russian military and energy infrastructure. Satellite imagery discussed in the video shows damage to a Tu-95 bomber at Engels-2 airbase, while strikes on Russian oil infrastructure continue. At the same time, Russia is heavily targeting Ukrainian commercial and logistics infrastructure, including Nova Poshta sorting centers and Epicentr locations.
We also break down Kyrylo Budanov’s latest assessment of the war and new Ukrainian information about Russia’s Geran-4 and Geran-5 jet-powered drones—including reported production approaching 3,000 drones per month and a confirmed flight of roughly 960 kilometers from Crimea toward northwestern Ukraine.
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CHAPTERS
0:00 Kremlin Responds After CIA Moscow Visit
0:54 Ukraine Damages Tu-95 at Engels-2
4:52 Putin and Lukashenko Prepare to Meet
5:13 Peskov Delivers Moscow’s Answer
7:59 Russia Says Peace Talks Are on Pause
10:49 Russia Targets Ukrainian Infrastructure
13:57 Budanov on War, Mobilization and NATO
16:10 Russia’s Geran-4 and Geran-5 Drone Threat
19:00 The CIA Visit Changed Nothing
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Putin’s own words — and the Kremlin’s response today — make one thing clear: Russia is not preparing for peace. It is preparing for escalation.
In this update, Greg breaks down Peskov’s confirmation of Putin’s position, Zelenskyy’s warning that Putin has ordered Donetsk seized by December 31, and the larger Novorossiya objective that would cut Ukraine off from the Black Sea.
We also look at the brutal reality in Konstantinivka, the pressure on Ukraine’s fortress belt, Lukashenko’s sudden meetings with Putin and Xi Jinping, Belarusian threats after Zelenskyy’s warning, signs pointing toward Russian mobilization after September, and Marjorie Taylor Greene’s comments to Russian state media.
This is a serious moment for Ukraine, NATO, Europe, and the United States — because Moscow is saying out loud what it intends to do next.
Share your thoughts below, like the video, and subscribe for daily pro-Ukraine geopolitical analysis.
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0:00 MTG on Russian State Media
0:52 400+ Drones and the 40-Day Plan
1:06 Sternenko’s Warning to Putin
2:12 Peskov Doubles Down
4:47 Zelenskyy Reveals Donetsk Deadline
5:29 Putin’s Novorossiya Goal
6:21 The Fortress Belt Reality Check
8:09 Konstantinivka Shows Russia’s War Method
11:53 Lukashenko Suddenly Meets Xi Jinping
15:21 Belarus Threatens Ukraine
17:24 United Russia and Mobilization Signals
18:59 MTG’s TASS Interview
21:57 Drones En Route to Russia
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The Crimean Bridge has not yet been destroyed to allow civilians and military personnel to leave Crimea, avoiding the need to apprehend Russian soldiers in the peninsula's mountains. This was stated by military expert Kirill Sazonov on the "Factory of News " program.
"That's precisely why it hasn't been hit yet. Incidentally, it's already in a state of disrepair after the strike. Traffic is somewhat restricted there, and that's why there are some restrictions. And it seems to me that they're preserving it precisely to allow them to leave, so as not to keep them on the peninsula. First and foremost, we're interested in civilians leaving, so they don't linger there," he said.
Moreover, according to Sazonov, we are interested in the military leaving there, since catching them in Crimea, in the mountains, could be very long and difficult. "So it's better if they go. I think that's precisely why they left this bridge in place. After all, we could tear it down," he said. As reported, the Russians currently do not use the Crimean Bridge for transporting explosive cargo, but if it is included in military logistics, it will not last long.
Thus, Captain 1st Rank of the Ukrainian Navy Reserve, Head of Security Programs at the Strategy XXI Center for Global Studies, Pavlo Lakiychuk, noted that the Crimean Bridge is the Russians' last hope. According to him, after it was "shot down" in 2023 by a successful sabotage operation, the Crimean Bridge was effectively removed from the logistics plan because "Putin feels very sorry for it." Therefore, logistics were transferred to the Kerch ferry crossing, which carried fuel tanks and ammunition wagons. In the fall, our guys destroyed it, and all three ferries were wrecked. Just a month ago, they "delivered a finishing blow" to prevent their repair.
According to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, there are now virtually no safe roads left for the occupiers in southern and eastern Ukraine.
"This is further proof that there will be no peaceful times for the occupiers on our land. This is reflected in the shortages – primarily fuel – in Crimea and other occupied regions," the head of state said.
Following the explosion on the Kerch Bridge in 2022, when a Ukrainian attack ignited fuel tanks, fuel transportation across the bridge was banned. However, the bridge remains the main route for Russian tourists to reach Crimean resorts, the article states.
However, Russian tourism associations are already reporting a drop in bookings of approximately 50% compared to May.
"We didn't notice any food shortages—except for buckwheat and sugar. We were traveling around Crimea, and the beaches were completely empty," said a family of tourists from Moscow.
"We didn't see any fuel oil in the water, although locals said that sometimes traces of it appear on the rocks."
The tourist season in Crimea has not been formally cancelled, but its prospects remain extremely uncertain. Prominent pro-Russian military bloggers are already calling on the authorities to warn citizens about the dangers of travel.
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Iran’s military and security forces are experiencing desertion problems, with desertion rates reaching as high as 90 percent in some units, Iran International media outlet reported on Monday. According to the report, 350 police forces abandoned their posts at a single base and the overall operational preparedness of security forces is believed to have declined. Low morale, economic hardship, dissatisfaction contribute to the unrest within segments of Iran’s military and security forces. According to information obtained by the outlet, an estimated 5,000 personnel from Iran’s military and security apparatus have been killed, with over 15,000 more injured, during the ongoing US-Israeli strikes that began on February 25. A significant portion of the fatalities occurred during air attacks targeting missile and drone divisions. Among those most heavily affected are members of the Revolutionary Guards, Basij militias, and units responsible for riot control. The same sources suggest that the government has attempted to keep the scale of losses from public view by limiting funeral and burial gatherings. Families of the deceased have reportedly been instructed to conduct mourning ceremonies in private. Information reviewed by Iran International indicates that members of certain police special units were informed on Friday of disruptions in salary payments. This marks the third such delay in recent months. In reaction, some personnel reportedly refused to participate in pro-government demonstrations, and operational deployments in several major cities were affected. Further reports suggest that retired personnel and some members of the regular army have gone unpaid for two consecutive months. There are also claims that some senior officials blame the Revolutionary Guards for taking advantage of financial difficulties at Bank Sepah, allegedly using the situation to weaken police forces while bolstering institutions aligned with the clerical leadership. Additional accounts indicate that the Revolutionary Guards have attempted to address staffing shortages by calling retirees back into service and offering certain prisoners amnesty in exchange for cooperation with security forces. Within the air force, morale and readiness are described as low. Following reports that a Yak-130 aircraft was shot down during an encounter with an Israeli F-35, many pilots are said to be hesitant to carry out combat missions against Israeli or US forces. Official casualty rate among military personnel since the US-Israeli Epic Fury operation was launched, has not been revealed yet
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Russian reporters are asking unusually direct questions: Is Moscow losing track of its own cycle of attacks and responses, how serious are Russia's fuel problems, and why are Iran and North Korea now among the Kremlin's closest allies?
Greg breaks down Dmitry Peskov's answers on Russia's war claims, fuel supplies, and the reported proposal for a Trump-Zelenskyy-Putin meeting. He also examines Sergey Lavrov's defense of Moscow's alliances as Russia portrays NATO and the United States as active opponents.
The update then turns to Serhii "Flash" and his assessment that LTE modems connecting with Belarusian base stations may be helping Shahed drones maintain their routes toward Kyiv. Finally, Ukraine's defense minister argues that Putin will stop only when Russia begins losing through sustained pressure - and warns that the Kremlin's ultimate goal extends far beyond the occupied regions to all of Ukraine.
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CHAPTERS
0:00 Four questions as fall begins
1:37 Reporters confront Moscow
1:59 Is Russia losing track of the war?
4:05 Russia's fuel shortage question
5:22 A Trump-Zelenskyy-Putin meeting?
7:37 Lavrov pressed on Iran and North Korea
9:43 Why Shahed drones keep reaching Kyiv
10:16 LTE links along the Belarus border
11:26 Putin will stop only under pressure
12:10 Russia's goal is all of Ukraine
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Dmitry Medvedev says Russia can only be “saved” by defeating Ukraine. That is not the language of a confident Kremlin—and Sergei Lavrov’s latest warnings make Moscow’s growing pressure even harder to ignore.
This update breaks down Ukraine’s deep strikes on targets in Ryazan, Perm, and Russian logistics sites; President Zelenskyy’s urgent request for 300 Patriot interceptors before winter; the Senate’s 86–12 procedural vote targeting buyers of Russian oil; signs of possible Russian mobilization and additional North Korean manpower; and Lavrov’s escalating rhetoric toward Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and NATO.
Ukraine is increasing the cost of this war, but its air-defense clock is running fast. Watch to the end, then tell me: Is Russia projecting strength—or revealing fear?
Please like, share, and subscribe to The Greg Terry Experience for serious, pro-Ukraine geopolitical analysis.
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0:00 Medvedev: Russia Must Win
1:35 Ukraine Strikes Deep Inside Russia
2:45 The Wildberries Strike Map
4:43 Ukraine’s Winter Patriot Emergency
6:56 Senate Targets Russia’s Oil Buyers
8:47 Mobilization and North Korean Manpower
12:35 Medvedev’s Message to Russia
13:45 Lavrov Escalates Against the West
16:20 Lavrov Warns the Baltic States
18:32 What Happens Next
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Vladimir Putin used a bizarre killer-whale-and-polar-bear analogy while speaking to students—and then connected that “food chain” directly to Russia’s war against Ukraine. But Putin’s rhetoric is only one part of a much larger warning emerging from Russia and Eastern Europe.
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk says the next seven to eight months could be critical for Ukraine, Poland, and the entire region. He warns that Russia appears to be preparing for escalation and cites assessments that Moscow may seek to mobilize another 600,000 soldiers. At the same time, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov says there are no grounds for improved relations with NATO or the European Union and accuses Europe of mobilizing its military potential against Russia.
We also examine the devastating explosion near Kyiv that killed 37 people. President Zelenskyy acknowledged that a major ammunition storage facility was located where it “definitely should not have been” and promised a full investigation. Finally, we look at Putin’s meeting with Alexander Lukashenko and a serious strategic problem facing Washington: reports that U.S. missile and air-defense inventories have been heavily depleted by transfers to the Middle East, potentially complicating American contingency planning in Europe and Asia.
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CHAPTERS
0:00 Putin’s Killer Whale Comparison
0:13 Russia’s Rhetoric Intensifies
1:43 Putin Connects the “Food Chain” to Ukraine
5:55 Zelenskyy Orders Full Investigation
6:46 Peskov Says NATO Relations Have No Hope
8:01 Kremlin Accuses Europe of Mobilizing Against Russia
10:33 Tusk Warns Russia Is Preparing for Escalation
13:51 Putin and Lukashenko Discuss Their Union State
14:32 U.S. Weapons Stockpiles Face a Serious Shortage
15:10 Patriot, ATACMS and the Global Readiness Problem
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