التماس جمهوری اسلامی برای توافق با آمریکا در حقیقت التماس مجتبی برای توافق با ترامپ است. چراکه جمهوری اسلامی در بالاترین سطح شکنندگی است و دیگر امکان تاب‌آوری ندارد. التماس‌های جمهوری اسلامی برای توافق سریع با آمریکا، ابراز تمایل برای مذاکره مستقیم و نشان دادن نرمش در خصوص برنامه هسته‌ای و تنگه هرمز نشان دهنده این است که محاصره آمریکا نتیجه بخش بوده است.

در این قسمت از برنامه، مجتبا پورمحسن در گزارش روزش، به احتمال تسلیم جمهوری اسلامی در مقابل ترامپ با اعتراف به از دست دادن کنترل تنگه هرمز می‌پردازد و شایان سمیعی، کارشناس امنیت ملی، از دلایل آمریکا برای پایان قریب‌الوقوع جنگ می‌گوید.

David Hookstead talks about multiple suspects targeting a U.S. bomber base in the United Kingdom at RAF Fairford. Five suspects were taken into custody. There are also updates with Iran firing more missiles and Iran vowing to never surrender as it appears negotiations are going nowhere.

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Chapters:

00:00 Intro
1:18 U.S. Bomber Base Attacked
6:08 Trump Comments
6:50 Iran Launches More Missiles
9:24 Iran Vows To Keep Fighting
9:48 Mysterious Message
10:42 Reaction

Jesse Watters highlights controversies surrounding Democratic politicians and public figures. Watters covers allegations of staff abuse against Alaska Democrat Mary Peltola, a lawsuit against a Democratic mayor and Kamala Harris's comments on tech.

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This morning, UK Airbase RAF Fairford, which currently houses U.S. strategic bombers, was approached by several unknown vans that allegedly intended to attack the base. The base is currently barricaded and on lockdown as the highest security measures have been implemented. This comes amid reports that the U.S. Department of Defense had reportedly declared FPCON DELTA at the base yesterday which represents the highest warning level to U.S. military forces. This is currently a developing story.

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I will show you AMAZING context today.
First, I examine Ukraine’s reported September 26 strike on the Azov Optical-Mechanical Plant in Russia’s Rostov region, a facility reportedly linked to components for at least seven Russian missile programs and described as the sole supplier of two essential Kh-101 components. The confirmed strike’s real damage and effect on missile output remain unverified, but it raises a consequential question: can targeted attacks create production bottlenecks in Russia’s long-range strike arsenal? I also assess claims that 14 Russian refineries are offline, nine are operating at reduced capacity, and 97 refinery strikes have occurred this year.

I then turn to Russia’s 170-drone attack, Ukraine’s reported decline in drone interception rates from 86–90% earlier in the year to roughly 70%, and the challenge posed by jet-powered Geran drones. Finally, I look at Ukraine’s tactical shift against Russian reinforcements, the proposed Army of Robots, NC-13 kamikaze ground vehicles used in Operation Vivaldi, and the UN debate over mandatory human control of autonomous weapons.

00:00 Overnight Strikes and the Wider Context
01:35 Russia’s Refinery Losses and Ukrainian Long-Range Strikes
03:53 Russia’s Drone Attacks on Ukrainian Civilians
05:24 Drone Volumes and Ukraine’s Air Defense Challenge
09:09 Ukraine’s Army of Robots Vision
11:11 Kamikaze Ground Robots and Drone Warfare
13:29 Captivity, Support, and the Human Stakes
14:57 AI Weapons and the Question of Human Control

#ukraine #russiaukrainewar #russianrefineries #kh101 #dronewarfare #autonomousweapons facts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.

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🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine.
Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/

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🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.

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🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.

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#ukraine #ukrainerussiawar #ukrainewar

These would cause absolute chaos

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So now we’ve got Ukrainian robots being dropped off behind the front lines, firing rockets into where the Russians are hiding, then, once they’re suppressed, driving in and blowing up. That’s a bad day and a pretty wild new use of drones in the Ukraine war.

We’re seeing new tactics and techniques like this on a daily basis from Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps as they continue pushing in the east during Operation Vivaldi. In fact, today we have the Russian perspective on how their mistakes led to this Ukrainian advance and how the chaos is spreading to other sectors of the front.

Interview with 'Jackie' from 3rd Army: https://youtu.be/iauv7plhosE

Sources
https://x.com/ab3army/status/2....104136166895206614?s
https://t.me/dva_majors/99615
https://t.me/dva_majors/99561
https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-military-delivers-4-tons-of-food-to-occupied-oleshky-by-drones-regional-authorities-said/
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c60qxywdx4vvo
https://t.me/swodki/620665
https://understandingwar.org/research/geospatial-intelligence/russia-is-integrating-ai-models-into-its-cognitive-warfare-campaign-against-ukraine/?utm_source=x&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=RussiaAICampaign

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I examine Sergei Lavrov’s claim that European rearmament is provoking Russia, even as Moscow sustains its war against Ukraine and reportedly plans major spending on jet-powered drones and loitering munitions. The strategic issue is not whether NATO should react impulsively to every Russian action; it is whether repeated drone incursions, aggressive flight paths, and hybrid operations can gradually raise the threshold for an allied response. The Institute for the Study of War warns that such normalization could create tactical surprise.

I also cover the reported major security incident near RAF Fairford, Germany’s allegations of Russian hybrid activity, and Putin’s renewed rhetoric about Russian speakers in the Baltic states. Ukraine is testing interceptor drones while Poland has offered to host Patriot missile production. I assess Moscow’s political warfare aimed at Germany and France, including messaging around Nord Stream and the online “Russia is not my enemy” campaign—and why European unity remains a central strategic target.

00:00 Ukraine negotiations and the drone war
01:42 North Korean POWs and South Korea’s concerns
03:38 Lavrov’s warning on European rearmament
05:40 Hybrid pressure and NATO’s response threshold
07:50 RAF Fairford security incident
11:25 Patriot production, Nord Stream, and Russian messaging
13:25 Starlink, the Trump-Xi summit, and leadership
16:02 US midterms and the debate over Russia
18:05 Why the “Russia is not my enemy” campaign matters

#ukraine #russia #nato #europeansecurity #deterrence facts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.


Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/

***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****

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🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukraine
https://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/

*****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****

🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine.
Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/

🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:
https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20

🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/

***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***

🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes

🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.

🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE

🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.

🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com

#ukraine #ukrainerussiawar #ukrainewar

FIVE men have been arrested over a suspected terrorist plot to bomb an RAF base as a robot probes three vans and 85 homes are evacuated.

The Army’s specialist bomb disposal team was scrambled to the scene to examine the vehicles after the men were arrested under the Explosives Act.

Read more
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/40507346/homes-evacuated-raf-bomb-squad-probe-explosives-arrests/

The Sun brings you breaking news and in-depth analysis on the stories that matter most. From the ongoing war in Ukraine to conflicts in the Middle East and US and UK politics, we post updates as they happen. Expect the latest on major global events, pressing political debates, celebrity updates and exclusive royal family content, along with in-depth investigations and expert commentary. Get comprehensive coverage of Donald Trump's Presidency, Vladimir Putin's actions, and the unfolding drama of the British Royal Family.

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#raf #uk #usa #terrorism

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US intelligence has warned several European governments that Russia may be preparing a drone operation targeting Spain, France, or Italy. The suspected plan involves concealing Gerbera drones inside containers aboard merchant ships and launching them from the sea. The threat is particularly serious because these countries are far beyond the range of drones launched from Russian territory. Merchant ships could provide Russia with covert, mobile launch platforms much closer to southern Europe, allowing drones to approach targets from unexpected directions, which Nato countries didn’t expect any attacks from. This could bring normally distant European targets within range without requiring Russia to establish a permanent military base abroad.

To conduct these strikes, Russia would use Gerbera drones that can fly around six hundred kilometres and carry a five kilogram explosive payload. These drones could be launched against airports, military facilities, or critical infrastructure near the coast. Because of the relatively small payload, the drones wouldn’t cause widespread destruction, but it is more than enough to damage key parts of Nato’s infrastructure and paralyze them. A ship positioned several hundred kilometres offshore could launch the drones without entering a Nato country’s territorial waters, making preparations for the attack more difficult to detect. 

Russia’s broader objective is not to start a full scale war with Nato, but to test how the alliance would respond to a limited attack while exploiting existing divisions within Europe. A carefully controlled drone operation could create public fear and expose weaknesses in southern Europe’s air defenses. Depending on its scale, an attack could force Nato members to move additional air defense systems towards southern Europe, leaving fewer systems and interceptors available for the eastern flank and Ukraine. Launching the drones from a civilian ship would also make it harder to prove that Russia ordered the attack, creating uncertainty over how Nato should respond. Moscow could use this political uncertainty surrounding such an attack to test Nato’s willingness to invoke Article five, the collective defense clause, and assess how united European governments would remain under pressure. 

This type of drone attack would cause major problems for Nato because finding one armed vessel among three thousand regular merchant ships that sail through the Mediterranean Sea every day would be almost impossible. This tactic would also give Russia plausible deniability, because it could deny controlling the ship after an attack, while Western investigators would try to trace the vessel and its ownership. A foreign flagged vessel, several companies involved in its ownership, and cargo moved through different ports could make the operation more difficult to trace back to Russia. Nato would therefore need strong evidence before seizing the vessel or responding against Russia, as its members could not simply search every suspicious merchant ship travelling through international waters. Detecting the operation beforehand would require Nato to track suspicious cargo, port visits, and changes in ship ownership across several countries. Russia could move the drones through companies or intermediaries in third countries before loading them onto civilian ships, greatly expanding the number of routes Nato would need to monitor.

Overall, turning merchant ships into mobile launch platforms would allow Russia to threaten southern Europe without building permanent bases or openly deploying military forces abroad. Nato would then have to connect naval surveillance, port inspections, coastal security, and air defense because stopping these attacks would begin long before the drones entered European airspace. However, stricter inspections of suspicious vessels could slow commercial traffic and create disputes with neutral countries, meaning Moscow could cause economic and political pressure even if only a few drones were launched. The lasting effect would be to erase the old division between military threats in eastern Europe and civilian shipping routes in the south, forcing Nato to defend both at the same time.

اخبار بامدادی | یک‌شنبه ۵ مهر

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My name is Denys, and I am Boeing 737 Captain. Before I used to fly ATR 42/72.
I am making the videos on this Pilot Blog channel to encourage people all around the world to join our aviation community.
Here you'll see interesting aviation videos from pilot's perspective. Enjoy:)

کارت تنگه هرمز از آنجا گام‌به‌گام سوخت که جمهوری اسلامی جدیت و توان آمریکا برای باز کردن آنجا را دست‌کم گرفته و به‌طور متوهمانه‌ای، بیش از حد روی توان خود برای بسته نگه‌داشتن طولانی‌مدت تنگه حساب باز کرده بود.

جمهوری اسلامی تصور واقع‌بینانه‌ای از قدرت محاصره دریایی آمریکا نداشت. تصور نمی‌کرد نیروی دریایی آمریکا قادر باشد دریای عمان را به‌گونه‌ای مسدود کند که هیچ کشتی و نفت‌کشی نتواند از این دیوار محاصره عبور کند.

President Trump has reportedly rejected Iran’s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, according to a Wall Street Journal account cited by Reuters, as officials discuss a possible return to military pressure after the U.S. midterm elections. Former F-15E Strike Eagle pilot Max Afterburner breaks down Iran’s conditional seven-day offer, the nuclear concessions Tehran says it will not make, and the U.S. blockade that remains central to the talks. We also examine the Saudi coalition’s reported missile and drone interceptions and what an integrated air-defense network must do to stop mixed threats. In today’s global roundup: Chinese vessels disrupt a Philippine resupply mission at Second Thomas Shoal, Washington proposes Ukraine-Russia technical talks, and Europe watches Russian hybrid activity. This video distinguishes confirmed events, official claims and reporting about private discussions.

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Miad Maleki of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies joins Mike Baker on The PDB Situation Report to examine how the U.S. blockade and sanctions are squeezing Iran’s economy. Maleki explains the pressure on Iranian oil exports and trade, then weighs whether w

این ویدیو شامل فیلم و عکس های آرشیوی است که ممکن است به طور مستقیم به رویدادهای مورد بحث مرتبط نباشد. این محتوا برای ارائه زمینه بیشتر و کمک به درک بهتر موضوع استفاده شده است.
This video features archival content that may not be directly linked to the events under discussion. It is included to provide additional context and facilitate a better understanding of the subject.

Things are just getting started in the east

Operation Vivaldi is off and running and today, we’re talking with a member of the Ukrainian 3rd Army Corps to get an idea of what we’re seeing and maybe more importantly, how much is still yet to be released.

SGT John "Jackie" Roberts is an American veteran who has been fighting in Ukraine since 2022. He now serves as a Senior American Military Instructor the 3rd Army Corps who is leading this current offensive in the east.

We get into why this area is so important to warrant an operation of this scale, some of the brand new tactics deployed and what to watch for in the coming months.

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In this exclusive interview, intelligence analyst Ryan McBeth breaks down concerning reports that Russia's shadow fleet could launch maritime drones against soft civilian targets across Southern Europe.

We dive into the strategic calculations behind these potential hybrid attacks, the practical difficulties of anti-drone defence in densely populated European cities, how NATO might respond with targeted strikes or a no-fly zone, and the severe domestic risks Putin faces if he expands military conscription.

Video chapters:
00:00 - Could Putin target European holiday hotspots?
00:35 - The high stakes of Russia’s NATO gamble
01:35 - Soft targets: forcing NATO's hand
02:35 - How NATO could respond: retaliatory strikes & no-fly zones
04:55 - The reality of setting up anti-drone security in Europe
07:15 - Why mobilisation is Putin's biggest political threat

The Sun brings you breaking news and in-depth analysis on the stories that matter most. From the ongoing war in Ukraine to conflicts in the Middle East and US and UK politics, we post updates as they happen. Expect the latest on major global events, pressing political debates, celebrity updates and exclusive royal family content, along with in-depth investigations and expert commentary. Get comprehensive coverage of Donald Trump's Presidency, Vladimir Putin's actions, and the unfolding drama of the British Royal Family.

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#ukraine #russia #europe

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Ukrainian forces have launched an intense strike campaign across the Orikhiv and Huliaipole directions, targeting the logistics network sustaining Russia’s offensive operations in Zaporizhzhia. One of the clearest examples came in Huliaipole, where Ukrainian reconnaissance tracked a Russian ammunition truck as it moved through the area and followed it to a hangar being used as cover. Less than three and a half hours after the vehicle was detected, pilots from the two hundred twenty fifth Assault Regiment struck it inside the shelter with a single FPV drone. Around sixty one hundred fifty two millimeter artillery shells stored in the hangar detonated, destroying the truck and its cargo. At the same time, Ukrainian aircraft were carrying out strikes against logistics routes feeding Russian forces toward Orikhiv.

This strike campaign follows the stabilization of the Orikhiv sector after Ukrainian airborne reinforcements were moved into the area from other parts of the front. Since their arrival, the frontline has remained largely unchanged, showing that the Russian advance has lost the momentum it previously had. Russian pressure has not disappeared, as shelling inside Orikhiv has shifted farther north through the city center, indicating continued assault and infiltration attempts against Ukrainian positions. With the frontline stabilized, Ukrainian forces have gained more room to target the logistics supporting Russian attacks. Instead of allowing Russian units to regroup and prepare another concentrated push, Ukrainian forces are now turning their attention toward the transport routes, ammunition flows, and rear positions keeping those assaults supplied. The battle around Orikhiv is therefore shifting from emergency stabilization toward systematically weakening the Russian offensive before it can rebuild momentum.

The main target of this campaign is the transport network connecting Russian rear areas around Polohy with the fighting near Orikhiv. Ukrainian aircraft carried out four airstrikes against bridges across the Konka River near Inzhenerne and Polohy, crossings used to move personnel, ammunition, and heavy equipment toward the front. Cutting these routes restricts heavier vehicles and forces supplies onto fewer remaining approaches, with the Seventh Air Assault Corps reporting that Russian troops have already increased their use of motorcycles as access deteriorated. Russian reconnaissance footage shows Ukrainian forces blowing up the bridge between Inzhenerne and Novokarlivka on the Orikhiv–Polohy road. The crossing appears to have been prepared with explosives, and its destruction cuts another route toward Orikhiv.  Elsewhere, FPV operators from the Sixty Fifth Ronin unit destroyed a Russian vehicle transporting BM Twenty One Grad rockets toward the fighting. Farther south, Hungry Falcons operators used fiber optic FPV drones between Orikhiv and Tokmak to strike Russian personnel, communications equipment, and logistics behind the frontline. Separate footage from Ilchenkove shows one of these drones damaging a Russian Tigr M infantry mobility vehicle.

The pressure on Russian logistics now has to translate into pushing Russian forces away from Orikhiv itself. Even with the frontline stabilized, continued Russian assault and infiltration activity through the city leaves Russia in position to keep tightening pressure from multiple directions. A half encirclement around Orikhiv gives Russian forces more approaches toward the city while placing greater strain on the Ukrainian roads and supply routes needed to sustain its defense. Leaving that position intact also gives Russia a prepared starting point for another offensive once fresh troops, ammunition, and equipment are brought forward. Ukraine is trying to make those forward positions harder to reinforce, giving Russian forces less ability to use them as a base for further attacks and giving Ukraine a better chance to push them back. The more those supply lines are disrupted, the harder it becomes for Russian troops to hold their ground around Orikhiv, giving Ukraine a better chance to push them back from the city.

Overall, the next stage around Orikhiv will be decided by whether Ukraine can turn Russian supply problems into a permanent loss of ground around the city. As crossings disappear and rear routes come under constant attack, Russia will have to move supplies over longer, more exposed approaches, forcing more vehicles and troops into areas already covered by Ukrainian drones. That pressure will slow every attempt to rebuild the assault force around Orikhiv while giving Ukraine more time to prepare the next local counterattacks.

در این قسمت از برنامه، مجتبا پورمحسن در گزارش روزش، به رد پیشنهاد توافق جمهوری اسلامی از طرف تهران و تدارک آمریکا برای حمله به ایران می‌پردازد و شهرام خلدی، پژوهشگر تاریخ خاورمیانه، از تفاوت پیشنهاد جمهوری اسلامی با توافق مدنظر ترامپ می‌گوید.